SKRA Czestochowa 0-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
24%
+11.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 56%
+9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-52% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
04.12.2021 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1-2 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
15.08.2021 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 HT 2-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
0-2
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki got the better of SKRA Czestochowa 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, SKRA Czestochowa had 50% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 50%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 1.00 for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

SKRA Czestochowa 0-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 35%, draw 24%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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