Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-2 LKS Lodz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY LKS Lodz II EU Bookmakers 20%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.83
+7% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2-2
AWAY LKS Lodz II
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs LKS Lodz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec and LKS Lodz II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Zaglebie Sosnowiec carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 58% of the ball to LKS Lodz II's 42%, shots finished 21-10.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs LKS Lodz II?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-2 LKS Lodz II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs LKS Lodz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 57%, draw 24%, LKS Lodz II 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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