Beltinci 1-3 Bistrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beltinci EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bistrica EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
0.89/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.14
-45% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beltinci
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Bistrica
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 2-2 HT 2-1 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
07.10.2023 Beltinci Beltinci 3-0 HT 2-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
05.11.2022 Bistrica Bistrica 1-2 HT 0-1 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
POST-MATCH Beltinci vs Bistrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica got the better of Beltinci 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Beltinci at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Beltinci had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Beltinci and 1.00 for Bistrica.

What was the final score of Beltinci vs Bistrica?

Beltinci 1-3 Bistrica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beltinci vs Bistrica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beltinci win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Beltinci 41%, draw 29%, Bistrica 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beltinci) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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