Aluminij 3-0 Bilje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bilje EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +8%
1.41/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.44
-12% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Bilje
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Bilje 2-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN2
03.05.2023 Bilje 1-3 HT 1-2 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN2
21.10.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 4-0 HT 1-0 Bilje SLVN2
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Bilje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij swept aside Bilje 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aluminij had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Aluminij and 1.00 for Bilje.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Bilje?

Aluminij 3-0 Bilje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Bilje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 48%, draw 24%, Bilje 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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