Bilje 2-0 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.95
Over 2.5
60%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bilje EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.19/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.73
+12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bilje
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Aluminij
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2023 Bilje 1-3 HT 1-2 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN2
21.10.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 4-0 HT 1-0 Bilje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bilje
2-0
AWAY Aluminij
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bilje vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bilje got the better of Aluminij 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aluminij at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bilje had 51% of the ball to Aluminij's 49%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aluminij led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bilje and 3.50 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Bilje vs Aluminij?

Bilje 2-0 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bilje vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bilje 34%, draw 24%, Aluminij 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aluminij) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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