Tolmin 0-1 Jadran Dekani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.6pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.23/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.13
-24% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tolmin
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Jadran Dekani
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-0 HT 0-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
24.09.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 2-2 HT 2-1 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs Jadran Dekani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jadran Dekani nicked a narrow win over Tolmin 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 21% / 38% — and on the day Jadran Dekani made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tolmin and 1.00 for Jadran Dekani.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs Jadran Dekani?

Tolmin 0-1 Jadran Dekani in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Jadran Dekani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tolmin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 41%, draw 21%, Jadran Dekani 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tolmin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tolmin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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