Tabor Sezana 5-2 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tabor Sezana EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 27%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -20%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.68
+150% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tabor Sezana
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ilirija
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 2-0 HT 1-0 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN2
08.10.2023 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 0-3 HT 0-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tabor Sezana vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tabor Sezana swept aside Ilirija 5-2. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tabor Sezana as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ilirija led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Tabor Sezana and 2.50 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of Tabor Sezana vs Ilirija?

Tabor Sezana 5-2 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tabor Sezana vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tabor Sezana win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tabor Sezana 52%, draw 27%, Ilirija 21%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tabor Sezana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tabor Sezana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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