Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.3pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu EU Bookmakers 37%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.25/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+7% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 0-2 HT 0-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
03.04.2024 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 1-1 HT 0-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B
18.11.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 HT 1-0 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
2-1
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor nicked a narrow win over Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 39% — and on the day Karacabey Belediye Spor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 37% of the ball to Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu's 63%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karacabey Belediye Spor had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Karacabey Belediye Spor and 0.33 for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 40%, draw 21%, Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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