Pisa 3-1 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Mar 2026

Pisa
3 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Cagliari
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.45
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
30%
2.93
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.52
Over
35%
2.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.14
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
14%
5.37
6+
2%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.75
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
14%
5.16
X/2
12%
5.95
X/X
24%
3.42
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
16%
4.68
2/X
5%
13.8
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Pisa The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari The Market 34%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.91 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.45
Bad Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
29 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Cagliari
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 1.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
235 Passes 387
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Cagliari Cagliari 2-2 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTA
10.04.2023 Pisa Pisa 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
12.11.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
14.08.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 3-1 HT 3-0 Pisa Pisa İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
3 - 1
AWAY Cagliari
2.46 xG 1.18
28% Ball Possession 72%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
156 Passes 500
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Pisa vs Cagliari
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pisa beat Cagliari 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 35% / 30% — and on the day Pisa made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (65%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Pisa had 28% of the ball to Cagliari's 72%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.46 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cagliari led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pisa and 1.50 for Cagliari.

Pisa vs Cagliari Result & Final Score

Pisa 3 - 1 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pisa vs Cagliari Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Pisa 35%, draw 35%, Cagliari 30%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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