Wolfsburg (K) 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.7pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.90/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.71
+8% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
27.9 Crosses 21.1
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.32 xG 0.70
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
468 Passes 153
81% Pass Accuracy 60%
44 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-5 HT 0-2 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
06.12.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
04.02.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
2-1
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1.48 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
329 Passes 269
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) squeezed past Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 54% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 46%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.48 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wolfsburg (K) and 1.00 for Bayer Leverkusen (K).

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 57%, draw 25%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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