Qabala 1-3 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 15 Mar 2026

Qabala
1 - 3 HT 1 - 1
Neftçi PFK
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
53%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.62
Over
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.05
No
52%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
1%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Qabala The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK The Market 56%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
0.81 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.68
1.70 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.23
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Weak
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
257 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
6 Corners 12
10.02.2026 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
26.10.2025 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
28.01.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
05.11.2023 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
27.08.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
03.06.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERK
REVIEW Qabala vs Neftçi PFK
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Neftçi PFK beat Qabala 3-1 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neftçi PFK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Qabala against 1.67 for Neftçi PFK.

Qabala vs Neftçi PFK Result & Final Score

Qabala 1 - 3 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Qabala vs Neftçi PFK Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Qabala 20%, draw 27%, Neftçi PFK 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftçi PFK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
15 Mar 2026
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