Al Urooba 2-1 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.66/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.53
+3% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2025 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
16.03.2024 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
28.10.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
07.04.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
26.11.2022 Al Urooba Al Urooba 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Urooba
2-1
AWAY Al Thaid
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Urooba squeezed past Al Thaid 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Al Urooba found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Urooba had 61% of the ball to Al Thaid's 39%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Al Urooba and 1.20 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Al Thaid?

Al Urooba 2-1 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Urooba win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 39%, draw 28%, Al Thaid 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Urooba) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Urooba) ✗ Under 2.5
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