Al Urooba 1-0 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.3pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.98/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.86
-1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
07.04.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
26.11.2022 Al Urooba Al Urooba 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Urooba edged past Al Thaid 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Urooba as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Urooba and 1.67 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Al Thaid?

Al Urooba 1-0 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Urooba win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 54%, draw 29%, Al Thaid 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Urooba), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Urooba) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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