Al Dhafra 2-1 Al Fujairah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

Al Dhafra
2-1
Al Fujairah
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
UAE - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Al Dhafra vs Al Fujairah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Dhafra v Al Fujairah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fujairah EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.62/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.42
-2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Al Dhafra vs Al Fujairah Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Fujairah
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.85 xG 1.54
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
166 Passes 366
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 4-3 HT 3-2 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
14.02.2021 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah 4-2 HT 1-2 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
29.10.2020 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE
24.01.2020 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE
14.02.2015 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fujairah Al Fujairah BAE
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Al Fujairah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra edged past Al Fujairah 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Dhafra as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Al Dhafra and 2.00 for Al Fujairah.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Al Fujairah?

Al Dhafra 2-1 Al Fujairah in the UAE - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Al Fujairah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 46%, draw 23%, Al Fujairah 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Dhafra), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✓ BTTS Yes
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