Gulf United 1-3 Dibba Al Fujairah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gulf United EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Dibba Al Fujairah EU Bookmakers 69%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.17/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/1.47
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gulf United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dibba Al Fujairah
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.10.2023 Dibba Al Fujairah Dibba Al Fujairah 2-0 HT 1-0 Gulf United BAE2
POST-MATCH Gulf United vs Dibba Al Fujairah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dibba Al Fujairah beat Gulf United 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dibba Al Fujairah as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Gulf United vs Dibba Al Fujairah?

Gulf United 1-3 Dibba Al Fujairah in the UAE - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gulf United vs Dibba Al Fujairah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dibba Al Fujairah win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gulf United 21%, draw 22%, Dibba Al Fujairah 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dibba Al Fujairah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dibba Al Fujairah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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