ML Rogachev 2-0 Dinamo Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.09
No
46%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.1pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ML Rogachev EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -63%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ML Rogachev
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dinamo Brest
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-2 HT 0-1 ML Rogachev ML Rogachev BLRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ML Rogachev
2-0
AWAY Dinamo Brest
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ML Rogachev vs Dinamo Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ML Rogachev saw off Dinamo Brest 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had ML Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, ML Rogachev had 61% of the ball to Dinamo Brest's 39%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of ML Rogachev vs Dinamo Brest?

ML Rogachev 2-0 Dinamo Brest in the Belarus - Cup on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ML Rogachev vs Dinamo Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated a ML Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split ML Rogachev 54%, draw 22%, Dinamo Brest 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ML Rogachev), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ML Rogachev) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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