Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-2 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.4
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
64%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.09
No
45%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
27%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
15%
-0.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
64%
Away Win
63%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.8pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 67%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.17
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLRK
12.09.2025 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
25.04.2025 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
14.09.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
28.04.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 3-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
22.10.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0-2
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr beat Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Slavia Mozyr as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 44% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 56%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Mozyr led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 1.33 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-2 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Cup on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 15%, draw 21%, Slavia Mozyr 64%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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