Slavia Mozyr 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.01/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.16
-43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Mozyr
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
28.04.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 3-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
22.10.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
26.06.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 3-2 HT 2-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Mozyr
1-1
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Slavia Mozyr at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Slavia Mozyr had 59% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 41%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Slavia Mozyr and 1.25 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Slavia Mozyr 1-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Mozyr vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Slavia Mozyr 43%, draw 31%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Slavia Mozyr), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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