Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.69
4-5 Goals
19%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
21.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 53%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.01/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.39
-9% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -36%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.04.2025 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
14.09.2024 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
28.04.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 3-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
22.10.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
26.06.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 3-2 HT 2-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1-0
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk edged past Slavia Mozyr 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Slavia Mozyr at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 41% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 59%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 1.60 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 25%, draw 28%, Slavia Mozyr 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✓ Under 2.5
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