Pohang Steelers 1-1 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.89/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.93
-33% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses 23.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Incheon United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
474 Passes 356
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.09.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
23.06.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-3 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
28.04.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
20.10.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
02.09.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
25.06.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-1
AWAY Incheon United
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
413 Passes 347
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers and Incheon United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pohang Steelers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 53% of the ball to Incheon United's 47%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pohang Steelers and 0.33 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Incheon United?

Pohang Steelers 1-1 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 41%, draw 27%, Incheon United 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pohang Steelers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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