Pohang Steelers 1-0 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 32% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
18%
4.77
X/2
15%
6.39
X/X
9%
4.39
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
12%
4.71
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.58/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.01
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.5 Crosses 22.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Incheon United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
466 Passes 371
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-3 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
28.04.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
20.10.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
02.09.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
25.06.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
30.04.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-2 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-0
AWAY Incheon United
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
406 Passes 323
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers squeezed past Incheon United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 55% of the ball to Incheon United's 45%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pohang Steelers and 0.67 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Incheon United?

Pohang Steelers 1-0 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 42%, draw 24%, Incheon United 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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