Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 32% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.69
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
9%
6.51
X/2
19%
4.78
X/X
15%
4.57
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
10%
3.04
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 48%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.40/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.82
+26% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +53%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
12.1 Crosses 24.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
238 Passes 530
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-1 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
02.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
16.09.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
28.05.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-3 HT 1-3 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
16.04.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 2-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
07.11.2015 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
0-1
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
336 Passes 334
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai edged past Daejeon Citizen 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Ulsan Hyundai made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 51% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 49%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.83 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 33%, draw 31%, Ulsan Hyundai 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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