Ulsan Hyundai 4-1 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.14
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.17
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
10%
4.12
X/2
7%
9.48
X/X
12%
5.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.85
2/2
14%
6.88
2/X
6%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.75/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.87
+35% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.2 Crosses 11.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
512 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
16.09.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
28.05.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-3 HT 1-3 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
16.04.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 2-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
07.11.2015 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
04.10.2015 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
4-1
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
65% Ball Possession 35%
32 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
585 Passes 249
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai ran out comfortable winners over Daejeon Citizen 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 65% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 35%, shots finished 32-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.50 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen?

Ulsan Hyundai 4-1 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 48%, draw 23%, Daejeon Citizen 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Over 2.5
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