Utrecht (K) 0-2 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
67%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-0.9pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
67%
Away Win
67%
-0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.29/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.98
+37% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.2 Crosses 18.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht (K)
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Ajax (K)
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 9
278 Passes 340
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2025 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 8-0 HT 6-0 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
16.03.2025 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
16.11.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) HOLK1
10.03.2024 Utrecht (K) Utrecht (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht (K)
0-2
AWAY Ajax (K)
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 11
169 Passes 439
58% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utrecht (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) beat Utrecht (K) 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Utrecht (K) had 36% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 64%, shots finished 3-23.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ajax (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Utrecht (K) and 3.00 for Ajax (K).

What was the final score of Utrecht (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Utrecht (K) 0-2 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Utrecht (K) 13%, draw 20%, Ajax (K) 67%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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