Glentoran FC 0-1 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.75
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
11%
14.0
X/1
10%
6.21
X/2
16%
4.87
X/X
9%
4.09
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.28
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Linfield FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
21.02.2026 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
26.12.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
12.09.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
05.04.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
31.01.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRK
26.12.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC squeezed past Glentoran FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Linfield FC made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.83 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Linfield FC?

Glentoran FC 0-1 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - League Cup on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 35%, draw 27%, Linfield FC 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ BTTS Yes
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