Linfield FC 2-1 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.31
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.1
X/1
9%
4.14
X/2
12%
9.11
X/X
12%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
9%
7.59
2/X
5%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.56/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.80
-10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
31.01.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRK
26.12.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
03.12.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRLK
22.11.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
04.10.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
06.04.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC edged past Glentoran FC 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Linfield FC and 1.17 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Glentoran FC?

Linfield FC 2-1 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 45%, draw 26%, Glentoran FC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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