Carrick Rangers 4-1 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.88
No
63%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
14%
4.22
6+ Goals
5%
21.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 39% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.4
1/2
3%
31.5
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1
15%
6.05
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
5.45
X/X
14%
3.98
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.74
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · X/2 at 5.45 — our 18% vs market 14.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.8pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.6pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -19%
1.07/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.99
-19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
09.11.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
07.09.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
06.01.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-1 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRK
15.04.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
04.03.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers ran out comfortable winners over Portadown FC 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Carrick Rangers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.33 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC?

Carrick Rangers 4-1 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 36%, draw 24%, Portadown FC 40%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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