Carrick Rangers 1-1 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 24% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Portadown FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
04.03.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
19.11.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
08.11.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
30.04.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
08.03.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-2 HT 0-2 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrick Rangers
1-1
AWAY Portadown FC
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers and Portadown FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Carrick Rangers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Carrick Rangers had 58% of the ball to Portadown FC's 42%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.00 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC?

Carrick Rangers 1-1 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 48%, draw 24%, Portadown FC 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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