Crusaders FC 1-1 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.17
2-3 Goals
41%
2.29
4-5 Goals
28%
2.29
6+ Goals
13%
3.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-12.4pp
17%
Draw
10%
+6.1pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.7pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
5.10/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+150% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +20%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
430 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ards FC
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
29.06.2019 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Ards FC Ards FC HAZ
22.03.2014 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC and Ards FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Crusaders FC at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.00 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Ards FC?

Crusaders FC 1-1 Ards FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 70%, draw 17%, Ards FC 13%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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