Newry City AFC 3-2 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 6 Jan 2024

Newry City AFC
3-2 HT 2-1
Ballinamallard United
📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
North Ireland - Cup – 2025/2026

Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
36%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.68
No
61%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 29% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
56%
-15.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
21%
+14.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
56%
-16.2pp
61%
BTTS No
44%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newry City AFC v Ballinamallard United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 25%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-53% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newry City AFC
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
22.01.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-2 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
13.11.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
11.09.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-3 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
08.02.2020 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
21.07.2018 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United HAZ
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newry City AFC edged past Ballinamallard United 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Newry City AFC made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Newry City AFC and 0.60 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United?

Newry City AFC 3-2 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newry City AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 40%, draw 24%, Ballinamallard United 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newry City AFC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newry City AFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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