Glenavon FC 0-1 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 28% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.84
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
17.2
X/1
9%
3.91
X/2
12%
12.65
X/X
9%
6.09
2/1
11%
22.45
2/2
9%
10.65
2/X
7%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.97/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.01
-1% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.03.2025 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
02.11.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
07.09.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
13.04.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
23.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
18.11.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC nicked a narrow win over Glenavon FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Glenavon FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.67 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Loughgall FC?

Glenavon FC 0-1 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 53%, draw 21%, Loughgall FC 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Glenavon FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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