Glenavon FC 2-2 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.74
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.25
6+ Goals
13%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.78
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.64
X/2
6%
6.96
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1
5%
23.6
2/2
19%
4.88
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
1.51/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.51
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
23.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
18.11.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
25.08.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
04.10.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KILK
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC and Loughgall FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Glenavon FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.80 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Loughgall FC?

Glenavon FC 2-2 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 44%, draw 25%, Loughgall FC 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Glenavon FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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