Larne FC 0-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

Larne FC
0-1 HT 0-0
Ballymena United
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Larne FC vs Ballymena United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 26% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.51
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
25.5
X/1
17%
3.23
X/2
4%
20.4
X/X
14%
7.2
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
6%
17.6
2/X
6%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.1pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.8pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Larne FC v Ballymena United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
2.49/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.11
-2% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Larne FC vs Ballymena United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
02.12.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
31.03.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRK
17.03.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
21.02.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-3 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United squeezed past Larne FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Larne FC at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Larne FC and 0.33 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Ballymena United?

Larne FC 0-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 62%, draw 24%, Ballymena United 14%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Larne FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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