Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.99
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
10%
7.18
X/2
12%
4.64
X/X
12%
5.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
2/2
27%
2.72
2/X
4%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.36/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.36
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
23.12.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
16.09.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.01.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 6-0 HT 5-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
05.11.2022 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
23.08.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts squeezed past Glentoran FC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Glentoran FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 2.50 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC?

Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 29%, draw 25%, Glentoran FC 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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