Carrick Rangers 0-1 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.85
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.53
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
12%
4.11
X/2
7%
7.76
X/X
12%
4.69
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
7%
6.12
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.46/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/2.02
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Portadown FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.01.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-1 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRK
15.04.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
04.03.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
19.11.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
08.11.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
30.04.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC edged past Carrick Rangers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Carrick Rangers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Carrick Rangers and 0.83 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC?

Carrick Rangers 0-1 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 48%, draw 29%, Portadown FC 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Carrick Rangers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
7 Sep 2024
17:00 Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC Analysis →
17:00 Glenavon FC vs Loughgall FC Analysis →
17:00 Larne FC vs Ballymena United Analysis →