Glenavon FC 1-2 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.4pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
1.57/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.32
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Loughgall FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.11.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
25.08.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
04.10.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KILK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Glenavon FC
1-2
AWAY Loughgall FC
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC edged past Glenavon FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Glenavon FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Glenavon FC had 44% of the ball to Loughgall FC's 56%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.33 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Loughgall FC?

Glenavon FC 1-2 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 44%, draw 34%, Loughgall FC 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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