Newry City AFC 0-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 59%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
0.14/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.41
-88% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newry City AFC
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Crusaders FC
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
26.08.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-4 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
14.01.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
19.11.2022 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
27.08.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-2 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newry City AFC
0-1
AWAY Crusaders FC
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC nicked a narrow win over Newry City AFC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Newry City AFC had 41% of the ball to Crusaders FC's 59%, shots finished 3-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Newry City AFC and 2.80 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Crusaders FC?

Newry City AFC 0-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 22%, draw 24%, Crusaders FC 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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