Loughgall FC 3-0 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.61
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.55
X/1
9%
6.45
X/2
7%
4.78
X/X
15%
4.69
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
26%
3.04
2/X
6%
13.3
Value flag · 1/X at 13.55 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.5pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
1.53/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.21
+23% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
13.04.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
23.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
18.11.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
25.08.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
04.10.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KILK
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC cruised past Glenavon FC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Loughgall FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.50 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Glenavon FC?

Loughgall FC 3-0 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 29%, draw 32%, Glenavon FC 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Glenavon FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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2 Nov 2024
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