Coleraine FC 4-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
19%
4.65
X/2
9%
6.93
X/X
10%
4.99
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
15%
4.89
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.65
Value flag · 2/X at 13.65 — our 12% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.08/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.33
-28% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
16.12.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
25.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-2 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
28.01.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
03.12.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
01.11.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KILK
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC swept aside Dungannon Swifts 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; Coleraine FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.00 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Coleraine FC 4-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 40%, draw 28%, Dungannon Swifts 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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