Coleraine FC 3-2 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.38
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
10%
4.28
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
8.58
X/X
11%
5.14
2/1
5%
23.75
2/2
13%
6.84
2/X
8%
15.95
Value flag · X/2 at 8.58 — our 15% vs market 8.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+9.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.73/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.29
+1% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRK
25.01.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
02.11.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
10.08.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-1 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
16.12.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
25.08.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-2 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC edged past Dungannon Swifts 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.67 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Coleraine FC 3-2 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 42%, draw 25%, Dungannon Swifts 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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