Cliftonville 5-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.62
6+ Goals
12%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.38
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.45
X/1
18%
4.14
X/2
11%
8.51
X/X
13%
5.1
2/1
7%
24.2
2/2
7%
6.99
2/X
4%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
2.12/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.47
+26% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.03.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
16.11.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
21.09.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-2 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
20.01.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
23.12.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
23.09.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville ran out comfortable winners over Ballymena United 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cliftonville and 0.83 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Ballymena United?

Cliftonville 5-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 49%, draw 26%, Ballymena United 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5
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