Cliftonville 0-1 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.93
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.85
X/1
24%
3.58
X/2
4%
12.1
X/X
8%
5.48
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
13%
10.15
2/X
9%
18.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-6.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.2pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 19%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.39/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.59
+16% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ballymena United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-2 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
20.01.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
23.12.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
23.09.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
28.01.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-0 HT 2-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
03.12.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 4-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United edged past Cliftonville 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cliftonville at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Cliftonville and 1.17 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Ballymena United?

Cliftonville 0-1 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 56%, draw 23%, Ballymena United 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cliftonville) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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