Larne FC 0-1 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.46
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
14%
5.66
X/2
21%
4.87
X/X
8%
4.02
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.61
2/X
10%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.17/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.91
-13% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Linfield FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
22.04.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
30.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
11.11.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.09.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC edged past Larne FC 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Larne FC and 0.83 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Linfield FC?

Larne FC 0-1 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 32%, draw 25%, Linfield FC 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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