Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
3.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.45
X/1
9%
4.82
X/2
11%
6.53
X/X
16%
4.68
2/1
4%
26.5
2/2
9%
4.71
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
2.21/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.79
+55% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
20.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
04.11.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
09.09.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
07.04.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts beat Glenavon FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.33 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon FC?

Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 44%, draw 30%, Glenavon FC 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ BTTS Yes
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