Ballymena United 1-0 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.73
6+ Goals
11%
16.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.22
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
26.5
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
10%
6.81
X/2
9%
4.67
X/X
9%
4.48
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.93
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 14% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 49%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.04/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.54
-19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
287 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cliftonville
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
21.09.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 3-2 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
20.01.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
23.12.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
23.09.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
28.01.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-0 HT 2-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United nicked a narrow win over Cliftonville 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cliftonville at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ballymena United and 2.17 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Cliftonville?

Ballymena United 1-0 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 31%, draw 24%, Cliftonville 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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