Linfield FC 2-0 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.96
6+ Goals
9%
9.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 30% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.4
X/1
14%
3.95
X/2
10%
13.3
X/X
11%
6.15
2/1
9%
22.1
2/2
6%
11.1
2/X
7%
18.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.75/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.02
-12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Glenavon FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
20.08.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
10.02.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
16.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-2 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
14.01.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-6 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC got the better of Glenavon FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Linfield FC and 0.83 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Glenavon FC?

Linfield FC 2-0 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 50%, draw 27%, Glenavon FC 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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