Crusaders FC 1-1 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
9.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 28% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.45
X/1
22%
3.86
X/2
12%
13.65
X/X
8%
6.48
2/1
6%
21.5
2/2
8%
11.45
2/X
8%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.96/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.74
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Loughgall FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
28.09.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-4 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
17.02.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
11.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
02.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
22.06.2019 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC HAZ
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC and Loughgall FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Crusaders FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.50 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Loughgall FC?

Crusaders FC 1-1 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 52%, draw 23%, Loughgall FC 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ BTTS No
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