Crusaders FC 3-1 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.15
X/1
13%
3.6
X/2
12%
12.9
X/X
12%
6.54
2/1
8%
21.3
2/2
8%
9.95
2/X
8%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.89/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.00
-11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Loughgall FC
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
53% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-4 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
17.02.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
11.11.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
02.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
22.06.2019 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC HAZ
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC got the better of Loughgall FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.40 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Loughgall FC?

Crusaders FC 3-1 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 50%, draw 26%, Loughgall FC 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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