Glenavon FC 0-3 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
12%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.38
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
12%
8.06
X/2
19%
4.0
X/X
9%
4.89
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.43
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
15.05
Value flag · 2/X at 15.05 — our 12% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
1.17/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.20
-5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
21.10.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.08.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
10.05.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
11.03.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC cruised past Glenavon FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Glentoran FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.50 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Glentoran FC?

Glenavon FC 0-3 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 28%, draw 27%, Glentoran FC 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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