Dungannon Swifts 1-4 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 9 Nov 2024

Dungannon Swifts
1-4 HT 1-3
Cliftonville
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 26% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.49
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
15%
6.51
X/2
10%
4.9
X/X
18%
4.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
31.5
2/2
16%
3.02
2/X
6%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
42%
-10.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dungannon Swifts v Cliftonville — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.30/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.54
+3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.08.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.02.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
02.12.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
07.11.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KILK
07.10.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 5-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
18.03.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-2 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville ran out comfortable winners over Dungannon Swifts 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Cliftonville found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 2.00 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville?

Dungannon Swifts 1-4 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 38%, draw 30%, Cliftonville 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
9 Nov 2024
18:00 Portadown FC vs Carrick Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Glenavon FC vs Glentoran FC Analysis →
18:00 Linfield FC vs Ballymena United Analysis →
18:00 Crusaders FC vs Loughgall FC Analysis →